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Steady_T

10/24/22 3:51 PM

#379820 RE: BAR123 #379813

I just sold Jan 20 $12 puts for $4.90.

It is close to a binary event coming up. Options are reflecting that.
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ignatiusrielly35

10/24/22 3:57 PM

#379823 RE: BAR123 #379813

I like that option trade idea. And good job on your pricing. The buyers of your puts are either betting on bad data or they are hedging a long position.
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crescentmotor

10/24/22 4:00 PM

#379825 RE: BAR123 #379813

I just sold the December 10 puts and receive $3.30. That seems like an awfully large premium



That indeed is a large premium, but it reflects the reality that a failed trial is expected by the MMs to result in a stock price well below $6.70, which seems very likely under that scenario. On the flip side of that trade, it is going to be very expensive for some folks to hedge their long positions unless AVXL holds off on a PR and the stock price runs up considerably during the month of November.
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123tom

10/26/22 4:43 PM

#380198 RE: BAR123 #379813

I wish I knew how to trade options
but I dont.
Best of luck to you. I dont imagine price will plunge that low,unless the market crashes soon.
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WolfofMia

10/26/22 5:23 PM

#380205 RE: BAR123 #379813

No December 10 options for AVXL from what I can see.

Did you mean December 16?

Calls are even more expensive.