They are not in way over their heads. And you’re again, not in the room and not in a position to say so any more than anyone else.
The fact is, I have been in the room for huge corporate deals over many years, and I have been an observer on the sidelines and as an investor over many years, and while what you said may discourage the casual observer, the reality is that things are far more complex and dynamic than you suggest, for this firm and many firms.
That they have taken this treatment to where it is and have manufacturing ready to go in the UK and pre-approved for compassionate use, but enough to make substantial income per-approval if the market can afford it, that they have shown incredible fortitude to overcome what might have been insurmountable hurdles to most other management teams and clinicians I have seen over the years speaks to incredible hidden value.
Now you can denigrate it, kick it, say it’s not worth anything, but that is simply not true. It may suit one’s ego to make such pronouncements, but it really has no meaningful impact on anything.
People like to hear themselves say these things. And maybe they think they are influencing the market place. The reality is, when it is published and gets to the desks of the right people, and it likely already is significant to have been brought to their attention long ago, but when it is validated enough that they fear their competitors will get a jump on them, the value is created from many millions steps steps taken over this last 2 decades, patents and strategies and ideas launched that at this moment are just in the background, but they become significant and real on validation, and they become either an opportunity or a scary threat to existing franchises making billions already.
That’s how the value flashes into existence seemingly from nowhere. Now does it materialize instantaneously into the stock value? It takes a little time for it to materialize and gestate in the minds of all the relevant observers. There will be the right time for communicating those things to the larger market and to the right potential partners and competitors.
So your scenario is really just another person giving an opinion about why the company is going to fail, and so far those opinions have not been worth the bulletin board web pages they are written on. Not claiming my opinion is worth anything either. I am claiming that the work put into this company and already completed and real, has real value whether people on this bulletin board or Twitter know it yet or not. The operational word there is “yet”. Things have not happened yet that will happen in the most obvious way. When they do, there is a logic of events and forces that come into being, that likely can’t be stopped by anyone, including the AF’s or the hedgies… of the world.