The reason progression occurred faster in the trial group is simple, the vaccine was working and it was viewed as progression, but it was actually pseudoprogression. We all need to realize that pseudoprogression is the vaccine doing it's job killing the cancer. The fact that progression was called faster in treatment patients should clearly be viewed that for those patients who's tumor swelled in size, but was actually mostly dead matter, the vaccine was working.
We really don't know if in some patients where it's working the tumor doesn't swell, but rather shrinks and perhaps disappears completely, the point is, we really don't know. We don't know how many of those patients that lived for 5 years or longer were actually determined to progress at some point, or did their cancers just disappear, or become dead matter. I believe the other case is if the cancer can be completely removed in the surgery, if so, it might never come back, or if it does if successful the vaccine may eliminate it.
Of course we still know that nearly 90% are still dying, less than half of who would die without the vaccine, but clearly more is needed and UCLA has clearly found that Keytruda is something that does when added to treatment with the vaccine.
I believe that much more will be revealed in the Journal, but much still remains to be learned once the vaccine is approved and Oncologists like Dr. Liau can try other off label treatments to try to extend or save the lives of their patients.
At City of Hope I've met many people who were given up for dead elsewhere who're doing great decades later. I'm sure that Dr. Liau and others working with her, and elsewhere have similar stories where when all the approved therapeutics have failed they've experimented till they found something that worked. The key is getting the vaccine approved, then it becomes a tool which Doctors can experiment with. Perhaps something as simple as a different dosing protocol will yield dramatically improved results, but it's not something that can be done in the middle of a trial.
Gary