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mike_dotcom

01/21/22 12:13 PM

#345939 RE: Doc328 #345938

You mean Missling is a liar? Shocking!

TempePhil

01/21/22 12:22 PM

#345940 RE: Doc328 #345938

Yeah, I have complained about the lack of EXcellence sites being open, and the likely delay...while we sit on a pile of cash. AKA penny wise and pound foolish.

The only way I can see Excellence finishing up on M's schedule, is AVATAR good results/news, thereby motivating rapid enrollment into
Excellence
. It does sound like there is already anticipation for the UK sites to get going.

blue finch

01/21/22 12:24 PM

#345941 RE: Doc328 #345938

Thanks for breaking it down
I saw the Facebook post too
Recently


It’s obvious
They need more time

Investor2014

01/21/22 12:24 PM

#345942 RE: Doc328 #345938

Yes Doc super obvious, but for reasons I can’t fathom such realistic information will be scorned at and called FUD coming from the cabal. Weird coming from apparently wealthy and experienced biotech investors.

frrol

01/21/22 1:39 PM

#345954 RE: Doc328 #345938

I'm interested in seeing if the Excellence TLR timelines gets pushed back in the next citation of 2022 catalysts. Apparently it should.

You can't reliably time anything in the short term. Options expire and have time decay of value. It is very risky to take on net market risk (ie, unhedged positions) in biotech equity options. Stocks are generally volatile, and biotech stocks even more so. In the past there have been unwise offers to "teach" others about options. Run away. Be investors.

georgejjl

01/21/22 1:44 PM

#345955 RE: Doc328 #345938

Doc328: Do you believe that the following is in general true or false???

Alzheimer's disease is easier to treat at the earliest stage possible. See the image below to understand why this is true.



The above is especially true if you are targeting upstream MOA with precision medicine.



The Anavex Blarcamesine Phase 2b/3 trial is for early stage Alzheimer's disease with baseline MMSE scores of 20 to 28 inclusive

Prevention of Alzheimer's disease via Blarcamesine or Anavex 3-71 would be the earliest stage possible.


Good luck and GOD bless

ignatiusrielly35

01/21/22 2:02 PM

#345958 RE: Doc328 #345938

It will be ironic if we get Alz data before the Rett Excellence data.

abew4me

01/21/22 7:41 PM

#346002 RE: Doc328 #345938

If TLD for Excellence isn't going to be reported until 1H 2023, then Anavex must be planning to submit an NDA based on the Avatar data.

Remember, Anavex must get A2-73 approved BEFORE they can submit an NDA for their P2b/3 AD. Once A2-73 is approved for Rett, they must re-purpose the drug so that their Alzheimer's application can be accepted by the FDA. (See my post below from 1/7/22)

BTW, this may (partially) explain why it's taking so long for Anavex to release the TLD for the Avatar trial.

**********************************************************************************

abew4me Member Level Friday, 01/07/22 12:34:52 PM
Re: Gernee20 post# 343137 0
Post # of 345981

Repurposing A2-73 is extremely important for our AD application with the FDA.

And the only way we can repurpose A2-73, is if we get the drug approved.

It's my understanding that the FDA usually approves a typical NDA based on one of two criteria: The first one is having two large successful P3 trials; the other option is having one successful P3 trial along with a pre-approved drug and repurposing its use for your NDA application.

Since we only have one P3 trial going for AD, we are obviously going to use the second option. Which means we must get A2-73 approved as soon as possible...so we can repurpose its use with our AD application.

This doesn't necessarily mean that the pediatric approval is going to be delayed...because frankly, I think the Excellence (pediatric) trial will have a speedy approval on its own merits.

Below is a clip that I found in the Journal of Pharmaceutical Policy and Practice. It shows that repurposing a drug is becoming more and more acceptable by the medical community.

"Drug repurposing (i.e., using an existing drug for a new use) is essential for making the most of our medical armamentarium. Many drugs have accrued new indications over a period of years: adalimumab (Humira) was approved by the FDA for sale in 2002 with one indication and now has 10; onabotulinumtoxinA (Botox) was approved in 1989 with two indications and now has 9. Berndt et al. examine the history of uses of histamine-2 antagonists, proton-pump inhibitors, and selective-serotonin reuptake inhibitors and find that about 75% of their use was ultimately for uses other than their first-approved indications [1]. Drug repurposing has become one of the key tools in the search for medicines in the early fight against Covid-19 [2, 3], with existing products remdesivir and dexamethasone both being found to show improvements in clinical endpoints among hospitalized patients [4]."

Amatuer17

01/22/22 7:53 AM

#346034 RE: Doc328 #345938

Thanks Doc

“Missling is clearly not giving truthful guidance - and this is not the CRO's fault fault.” This is not a surprise but a norm.
It is impossible to get any straight or factual timeline from M - it is always wrong and to a point of deliberate misinformation

Your timeline is more realistic and likely to come true.