dd excellent analysis. In terms of probability as we do not have certainty- there are plenty of breadcrumbs, but another in response to the question of whether management is unblinded: One of the things management has been open and express about is they all are working very hard, and calls to Les, for example, seem consistently to occur on a work or meeting break. I think it is as close to a certainty as possible to conclude that management has been and is working.
What the heck are they working on if they are not unblinded?