Replies to post #414111 on NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[HappyLibrarian]

As far as chances go it seems split 4 ways with a:

25% chance of TLD on or before SNO is reasonable

25% chance of news on or before December 31, 2021

25% chance of news in Q1 2022

and a

25% chance of news in Q2 2022 or later.

Thus we have a 75% chance of TLD no later than the end of Q1 2022 but that leaves an annoyingly large 25% chance that we get delayed past Q1 and once that happens, all bets (just as they were starting October 5, 2020) are off.

[exwannabe]

Anyone else want to place a confidence percentage that we get TLD prior to SNO...???

I'm thinking around 20%...

I will go for 50% before SNO 2022. Any takers?

[marzan]

100%, imo

[JTORENCE]

'tryn2' ZERO %. IMO

[Chiugray]

70% we get TLD prior to SNO on Nov 19th.
95% by this month November.

[Hopeforthefuture3]

Pure guess but I will go with 10% chance by SNO 2021, 50% by year end and 99% by SNO 2022 (Ex's 50% guess)
If nothing by year end (2021) then can't wait for next ASM