I think that is the thing, it already feels a bit like a hedged bet. I see several cases of how this could play out and I get to my personal exit point (which would have me walking off with seven figures)
I feel this year with the perfect storm of value investors, catalysts, and others hoping in due to momentum this could potentially see a price that would surprise to even many of those cheering it and I get to walk away begrudging the tax man his extra take but delighted at my returns in spite of it.
Luck and lightning is what you hope to capture, but there is no guarantee. Failing that, the hope is they run the business very well. I think based on all we see they are on the right path to this, but honestly without financials we just won't know. If they do, even with a Herbalife type valuation which is shockingly low they could hit $2 a share in the next couple of years. A more aggressive valuation for a company in growth stages could mean hitting or surpassing this number even sooner.
A far more conservative case has this hitting some headwinds. Maybe their MLM structure hits some major snag and loses them faith with their reps, or maybe the global economy goes into a recession. From what I've seen I think they'd weather a storm like that, but just like Covid pushed them back a year other factors could do it again. Slower but steady growth.
Even if you are viewing this as a short term explosive gamble, I think there are really strong hedge cases to be made for mid term and longer term growth.
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