Replies to post #320250 on Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[sts66]

Oh, this is the one you were talking about - I don't think there's any dispute that "long haulers" exist, the media is covering that relatively well - symptoms are very similar to a chronic Lyme infection. Link to your article - these aren't people who recovered then got symptoms again, they had constant symptoms for > 5 wks:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/news/statementsandletters/theprevalenceoflongcovidsymptomsandcovid19complications

Estimating the prevalence of long COVID symptoms

This research strand aims to quantify the prevalence of, and risk factors for, long COVID symptoms following a confirmed or suspected infection. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey is a nationally-representative sample of the UK community population, and data items collected include COVID-19 test results and respondent-reported data on symptoms. To date, we have estimated that:

Around 1 in 5 respondents testing positive for COVID-19 exhibit symptoms for a period of 5 weeks or longer

Around 1 in 10 respondents testing positive for COVID-19 exhibit symptoms for a period of 12 weeks or longer

Using these estimates (along with the equivalent proportions for durations of 6 to 11 weeks) and the published weekly incidence rates from the COVID-19 Infection Survey (see Table 2a in the data tables section of that release), we estimate that during the week commencing 22 November 2020, around 186,000 people in private households in England were living with symptoms that had persisted for between 5 and 12 weeks, with a 95% confidence interval of 153,000 to 221,000.

This is the article I was referring to, where the claim that past infection provides 83% protection for five months - the stats clearly don't support that conclusion, and they mix up positive antibody tests with positive PCR tests as proof of infection, chance of false results isn't even taken into account:

https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n124