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CogDiss 1188X

04/29/20 12:17 AM

#280444 RE: GoodGuyBill #280442

I was limiting the claim specifically to getting the new infections down so that hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, resulting in excess deaths from non-treatment/triage decisions. That was the point of “bend the curve.” I believe we have achieved that goal throughout most, if not all of the country.

Right now we are entering a phase of excess death from non-delivery of normal doctor or hospital services, and major damage to society from psychological, social and economic effects of the lockdown.

The steps to reopen in a reasonable way certainly involve a lot of considerations that have to be worked through. I’ll write about some aspects of it in the days to come.

skitahoe

04/29/20 1:00 AM

#280448 RE: GoodGuyBill #280442

There is a desperation in the country that's largely been self inflicted. When the country shut down, all sorts of promises were made to get checks to all but the highest earners in about a week. Unemployment for most who're laid off was supposed to come in right away. Test to tell if you have, or may have previously had coronavirus were supposed to be available to all in a week or two.

I've heard that a few people in red states have received some money, I know none in California yet to get it. In the case of unemployments, back payments will be made, but few have yet routinely received checks. Most receiving tests are either very sick, or had definite contact with people who had it, and many who get it don't get results for a week. In short, people are starting to get desperate because what was promised hasn't been delivered.

Most people still are protecting themselves as intended, but clearly not those at the beach, or those protesting for things to open, and then there is the head of the task force going into a highly infectious hospital ward without protection, as if there is nothing to fear. Certainly Pense can be tested every hour if he wishes, but if he's infected he's just a vulnerable as any of us, and he may infect many others before ever feeling it. I know Trump would have done the same thing, but that doesn't make it right for either of them.

Their was no way we could avoid what's happened, but we certainly could have lessened the threat. To begin with, in January we could have contracted with those companies, or countries where proper tests had been developed to use, or even improve on their technology without errantly reinventing the wheel here, and only thinking we had a few people with it when now we know there were tens, or hundreds of thousands who had it, but didn't know that was what they had. I still have friends who were sick during that time, but don't know if they had it, or not.

In short, this won't be fixed without getting people the funds needed to exist under the conditions being imposed, and hopefully the many small businesses that will be out of business without it. There is a need for time to permit people who cannot save their businesses to save themselves without losing their homes, cars, etc. End the despair and people will be more willing to allow the country to reopen more properly, not so quickly. Here in California I believe for the most part we're doing it right, but in State's that still haven't flattened the curve it can only get worse, even with the curve coming down, until it's practically down to nothing it will rise if things are opened too quickly.

Cities like New York are more vulnerable than most a few can return to a normal life without using public transportation, etc. We really need to stamp this out before a real normal can occur. I hope drugs mitigate the deaths, but it will still be a big hazzard. I have stock in PSTI which may deal with the pneumonia, which is normally the killer, but regardless of where the answer comes from, we need to prevent or do a better job with the pneumonia and keep nearly everyone off ventilators where only a small percentage ultimately survive. New York is one of the most exciting places in the world when things are normal, I look forward to when I can feel safe about going there again.

Gary