Show your Broker this.............and then ask him to call up the 50 week moving avg. on Spot Gold............I think he will be Impressed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Lacalle: Is Now The Time To Buy Gold? by Tyler Durden ZeroHedge
In this interview Daniel Lacalle explains why the fundamentals for gold are stronger each day, and why silver and palladium should not be ignored in the current crisis.
VIDEO
Central banks keep buying more gold and will need even more as massive liquidity measures drive their balance sheets higher.
Supply challenges remain with some mines being shut down and new supply coming well below demand (as evidenced by the decoupling - once again - between spot and futs)...
Massive monetary imbalances globally will drive demand from investors looking for a hedge to currency debasement (and that systemic risk is soaring, with sovereign credit markets starting to leak information)...
Finally, we give the last word to Raoul Pal and his most recent thoughts (excerpted) on "A Dollar Standard Crisis" (referring to his institutional market research at Global Macro Investor)...
Don't forget - the $13tn short dollar positions (foreign dollar debt held mainly by foreign corporation and investment vehicles) is the largest position ever taken in the history of global financial markets.
* The coronavirus broke upon a world where monetary policy was already extremely loose
* Fiscal authorities sensing danger have stepped in with a will
* But this remains uncharted monetary territory
In coronavirus the global economy has been hamstrung by a crisis which, in monetary terms, had not really recovered from the previous one.
The 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) wreckage is still clearly visible across the world in the often record low interest rates which were already in place before the virus struck. Moral hazard is never far away from financial markets who can now see the cost of keeping rates low to fight the last crisis: there’s too little ammunition left to fight the next one.
In more usual times the authorities have room to make swingeing cuts to borrowing costs in an effort to stimulate their economies. The GFC saw US rates come down from more than 5% to effectively zero, having risen back to that point from around 2% in 2004. The global economy sailed in to the coronavirus with the upper bound of the Fed Funds target rate range at a princely 1.75%, already very low by historical standards.
And the Fed has at least managed to raise interest rates from their financial crisis lows. They remained negative in Japan, and at record lows almost everywhere else, even as the virus struck.
Accorded almost magic properties in the days of Alan Greenspan, the effectiveness of conventional monetary policy had come to be doubted even by those who practice it, in the months before coronavirus hit. 'Normal’ Interest Rate Levels Had Already Collapsed
Interest rate suppression had become a necessity in order to stop businesses and households who’d been incentivized by low rates to borrow to the hilt from going under. Sure enough they were delivered, but they left very little room for crisis fighting. As we now see. Happily the world’s fiscal authorities have seen this problem for what it is, and stepped into the monetary policy gap with huge stimulus programs of their own, most notably the US’ two-trillion-dollar whopper.
But this too comes with considerable hazard, especially if the coronavirus forces the global economy into deep freeze for a prolonged periods. National balance sheets were already groaning, the costs of economic rescue will inevitably put strained credit ratings under further duress.
What this means for trading markets is likely very simple. The bid for so-called haven assets is likely to be stronger than it was, and probably far more lasting. Think gold, the Swiss Franc, the US Dollar and the bonds of ever-rarer, rock-solid national borrowers. Riskier plays, by contrast, may well see more skittish demand profiles.
To some extent we are merely seeing a trend long in place turbocharged by the coronavirus.
Gold prices for example have been permanently at levels which would be regarded as historically quite high ever since the end of the financial crisis in 2009.
Gold: The yellow metal price has reached a new medium-term high of $1,742.60
The gold futures contract extended its uptrend yesterday before closing 0.60% lower. The gold price has reached new medium-term high of $1,742.60 as it was the highest since November of 2012 following breaking above $1,700 mark. However, the daily close fell below $1,700 and yellow metal’s price remained close to previous local highs. Mounting pandemic fears are supporting the demand side and gold is still acting as a safe haven asset.
Gold is 0.3% lower this morning, as it is fluctuates following Monday’s-Tuesday’s rallies. What about the other precious metals? Silver gained 2.05% yesterday and today it is 0.9% higher. Platinum gained 1.78% yesterday and today it is up 1.0%. Palladium gained 0.84% on Tuesday and today it is 1.3% higher.
GLDM Weekly: Embrace The Friendly Macro Environment For Gold
Investment thesis
Welcome to Orchid's Gold Weekly report. We discuss gold prices through the lenses of the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM).
GLDM has enjoyed a rebound of nearly 13% since it plunged to an intraday low of $14.38 per share on March 16. This is, in our view, the result of an aggressively dovish Fed’s response to the COVID-19 crisis, which put a halt to the surge in the dollar (DXY) and long-term US real rates.
Source: FRED, Orchid Research
While the dollar has experienced renewed upward pressure in recent days, US real rates have continued to move sharply lower, producing overall a macro environment conducive to higher gold prices.
Although volatility in the gold market in the months ahead is likely, we believe that gold prices will continue to appreciate as a result of this macro environment created by the Fed. As an old adage in Wall Street goes, do not fight the Fed!
We expect GLDM to trade between $12.50 per share and $17.00 per share in Q2.
Source: Trading View, Orchid Research
I hold a 6 Figure position with Van Eck Gold Trust........
VanEck® Merk® Gold Trust (OUNZ) Open for Deliveries
SAN FRANCISCO, April 8, 2020 /PRNewswire-PRWeb/ -- VanEck Merk Gold Trust (NYSE: OUNZ), the gold ETF that delivers, is open for deliveries. Most recently, OUNZ delivered 100 American Buffalo 1 ounce coins during a time when we see many coin dealers out of stock.
"We created OUNZ to deliver during periods of market tension. And OUNZ delivers, literally," explains Axel Merk, President of Merk Investments, the Sponsor of the VanEck Merk Gold Trust. "As we see several mints and refineries closed, demand for physical gold high and coin dealers short on supply, our team works closely with investors requesting to exchange their shares for physical gold," he continues.
Brandon Rakszawski, Director of ETF Product Development at VanEck, adds: "The current environment shows that good design principles are paramount for investors seeking to invest in a gold ETF. OUNZ will not issue shares unless the custodian confirms gold has been allocated; OUNZ in addition allows investors to request delivery of what they own, the gold. Because investors own a pro-rata share of the gold held in OUNZ, taking delivery and/or exchanging the gold into other coins and bars is not a taxable event."
OUNZ was developed on Guiding Principles listed below. Further, OUNZ is the only physical gold ETF with a patented delivery process (U.S. patent #8,626,641,merkgold.com/patent); according to the patent granted, "the system and process are … highly scalable."
VANECK MERK GOLD TRUST GUIDING PRINCIPLES
To meet its primary objective to provide investors with an opportunity to invest in gold through the shares and to be able to take delivery of physical gold in exchange for their shares, we ("the Sponsor) have structured the Trust along the following principles:
Holding London Bars. To allow investors to invest in gold through the shares, the Trust holds London Bars. When traded in institutional sizes, London Bars typically carry the lowest transaction cost compared to other forms of gold because there is no need to convert London Bars to gold of other specifications or involve a precious metals dealer before a Delivery Applicant takes delivery of London Bars. By contrast, taking delivery of forms of gold other than London Bars typically involves conversion costs (i.e., converting London Bars to physical gold of other specifications) and the assistance of a precious metals dealer. As such, the Trust holds primarily London Bars to facilitate a cost effective process to create and redeem Baskets.
Maintaining Allocated Gold. The Trust will hold its London Bars in allocated form in the Trust Allocated Account with the Custodian. The Trust Allocated Account will be used to hold the individually identified bars of gold deposited with the Trust. The physical gold is held in a segregated fashion in the name of the Trust, not commingled with other depositor funds or assets. The Trust has full title to the gold with the Custodian holding it on the Trust's behalf. Each investor owns a pro-rata share of the Trust, and as such holds pro-rata ownership of the Trust assets, corresponding to the number of shares held. Trust holdings are identified in a weight list of bars published on the Trust's website showing the unique bar number, gross weight, the assay or fineness of each bar and its fine weight. Credits or debits to the holding will be effected by physical movements of bars to or from the Trust's physical holding. The Trust's gold holdings are subject to periodic audits.
Minimizing the Use of Unallocated Gold. The Trust will need unallocated gold to facilitate transactions with Authorized Participants to exchange gold into different specifications to meet delivery requests from Delivery Applicants of physical gold and to pay Trust expenses not assumed by us, if any. The Custodian only will accept a delivery of gold in exchange for a Basket if it can promptly convert the gold to allocated gold. The Custodian must allocate physical gold to the Trust such that, at the end of each business day, the Trust may hold no more than 430 Fine Ounces, corresponding to the maximum weight of a London Bar, in unallocated gold.
Exchanging Physical Gold for Physical Gold of Different Specifications. To facilitate the ability to exchange shares into physical gold for delivery, we may exchange the Trust's gold for gold of different specifications. All gold obtained by the Trust must be without numismatic value and have a minimum fineness (or purity) of 995 parts per 1,000 (99.5%), except that the Trust may also obtain American Gold Eagle Coins (with a minimum fineness of 91.67%) solely for delivery to a Delivery Applicant. All gold held by the Trust is valued based upon its Fine Ounce content. While Delivery Applicants may always request London Bars, market conditions may cause us to limit other types of physical gold made available for delivery.
Permitting Investors to Take Delivery of Physical Gold. Delivery Applicants may submit shares to the Trust in exchange for physical gold.
Delivery Applicants may take delivery of as little as a 1 Ounce Bar, subject to a minimum dollar value that is specified by us from time to time on the Trust's website. By requiring that the delivery of gold to Delivery Applicants meet certain minimum dollar value criteria, which may change from time to time, sales taxes are not anticipated to be applicable to the delivery of gold to Delivery Applicants. However, if such taxes do apply, they are the sole responsibility of the Delievery Applicant. Taking delivery of physical gold is subject to guidelines intended to minimize the amount of cash that will be distributed with physical gold. As a result, investors need to submit shares that correspond very closely to the number of Fine Ounces represented by the gold requested.
The Trust will ship physical gold to a Delivery Applicant by a conventional shipping carrier such as the U.S. Postal Service, Federal Express, United Parcel Service or armored transportation service. A conventional shipping carrier may deliver gold to residential addresses. An armored transportation service, which may be required for insurance purposes, will only deliver to trusted, non-residential addresses.
Charging an Exchange Fee. The Exchange Fee varies depending on the type of physical gold a Delivery Applicant would like to take delivery of and reflects costs arising from: reviewing Delivery Applications, coordinating with Delivery Applicants and the Trust's other service providers, the conversion of London Bars into physical gold to be delivered, and the related expenses of the Trustee and us.
Taking Delivery of London Bars. Delivery Applicants requesting London Bars will need to submit shares that very closely correspond in Fine Ounces to the median Fine Ounce content of London Bars held by the Trust multiplied by the number of London Bars requested. London Bars are delivered directly from the Custodian. It may not be possible to exactly match the number of shares submitted with the number of Fine Ounces represented by the requested physical gold, requiring the Trust to sell some gold to facilitate the delivery request.
Minimizing Cash Holdings. The Trust is committed to minimizing the use of cash, keeping essentially all assets of the Trust in gold. To achieve this, we have agreed to pay the Trust's ordinary expenses and to be reimbursed therefor through the issuance of shares to it rather than through receiving cash. The Trust will not normally hold cash, or any other assets besides gold, but may temporarily hold a very limited amount of cash in connection with deliveries of physical gold to Delivery Applicants.
To meet its secondary objective to have the shares reflect the performance of the price of gold, we have structured the Trust as follows:
Transactions with Authorized Participants. By allowing Authorized Participants to directly issue and redeem Baskets with the Trust, Authorized Participants may be able to take advantage of price discrepancies between the Trust's underlying gold holdings and the value of the shares. As a result of this incentive provided to Authorized Participants, the value of the shares may reflect the performance of the price of gold.
To minimize the cash portion of delivery by Delivery Applicants of physical gold for their shares, we will only approve Delivery Applications where the number of shares to be submitted leads to a cash portion that is as low as practical in our assessment.
Exchange of Shares for Physical Gold other than London Bars. For physical gold other than London Bars, we will require the submission of shares that correspond in net assets to the number of Fine Ounces contained in the physical gold requested. The number of shares required for submission will typically be the smallest whole number of shares greater than the net assets of the Trust corresponding to the Fine Ounce content of physical gold requested. We may demand that an additional share or shares be submitted when, in our assessment, it facilitates the exchange process, such as when extraordinary Trust expenses may be expected, by reducing the likelihood that the net asset value of the Trust differs on the Share Submission Day from that anticipated by us at the time the Delivery Application is filed, which is in advance of the Share Submission Day.
Exchange of Shares for London Bars. Because London Bars vary in Fine Ounce content between 350 Fine Ounces and 430 Fine Ounces, it may be difficult to obtain a combination of London Bars that closely matches the number of Fine Ounces represented by the shares submitted. Delivery Applicants will need to submit shares that very closely correspond in Fine Ounces to the median Fine Ounce content of London Bars held by the Trust multiplied by the number of London Bars requested.
Any portion of the exchange not delivered in physical gold will be provided in cash.
The shares offer an investment that is:
Easily Accessible and Relatively Cost Efficient. Investors can access the gold market through a traditional brokerage account. We believe that investors will be able to more effectively implement strategic and tactical asset allocation strategies that use gold by using the shares instead of using the traditional means of purchasing, trading and holding gold. Transaction costs related to the shares may also be lower than those associated with the purchase, storage and insurance of physical gold.
Exchange Traded and Transparent. The shares will trade on the NYSE Arca under the symbol "OUNZ," and will provide investors with an efficient means to implement various investment strategies. Upon effectiveness of the registration statement, of which this Prospectus is a part, the shares will be eligible for margin accounts. The Trust will not hold or employ any derivatives and the shares will be backed by the assets of the Trust. Furthermore, the value of the Trust's holdings will be reported on the Trust's website daily.
Minimal Credit Risk. The shares represent an interest in physical gold owned by the Trust (other than up to a maximum of 430 Fine Ounces of gold held in unallocated form) and held in physical custody at the Custodian. Physical gold of the Trust is not subject to borrowing arrangements with third parties. Other than the gold temporarily being held in unallocated form to facilitate the delivery of physical gold to Delivery Applicants, redemptions by Authorized Participants, the exchange of gold to different specifications and the payment of Trust expenses not assumed by us, if any, the Trust's gold is not subject to counterparty or credit risks. The gold is held in the form of London Bars which is allocated to the Trust Allocated Account and held in the Trust's name by the Custodian. This contrasts with other financial products that gain exposure to gold through the use of derivatives that may be subject to counterparty and credit risks.
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