Replies to post #257612 on Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[rosemountbomber]

What about a split decision? I hope that doesn’t happen either. Only a win is what we want. Doubt it would stick at 20 for very long.

[fsulevine]

Yes on a loss... I say closer to $17 on a win (at least right away... then steadily up from there).

[dmiller]

In what time frame? Within a day or two? If so, I believe your 7 is reasonable but no way this stock is going to 20 from here. I see 17-18

$7 on a Loss
$20 on win

[othersideofthemirror]

off the top of my head if i'm recalling right

jpm +ve +100$ "overshoot" its pt 22
cantor +ve "trade upwards" its pt 35
gs +ve +100%
jeff +ve +10-20%; -ve -50%

personally leaning towards jeff

ot links to recent m&a 14Ds

ftsv
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1667633/000104746920001349/a2240913zsc14d9.htm#da42701_item_3._past_contacts,_transac__ite02384

arql
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1019695/000110465919073484/tv534682-sc14d9.htm

mdco
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1113481/000104746919006661/a2240222zsc14d9.htm

thor
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1609727/000119312519322708/d855631dsc14d9.htm

ot centerview on m&a via bbg

*snip*

“How many people have had a deal in trouble the past two weeks?” Effron, co-founder of Centerview Partners, said in a presentation Thursday at Tulane University’s Corporate Law Institute conference in New Orleans. “Volatility hurts M&A, the longer it goes, the more quiet it is.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-05/centerview-s-effron-says-virus-impacting-m-a-more-than-election

[othersideofthemirror]

off the top of my head if i'm recalling right

jeff +ve +10-20%; -ve -50%
jpm +ve +100$ "overshoot" its pt 22
cantor +ve "trade upwards" its pt 35
gs +ve +100%

ot links to recent m&a 14Ds

ftsv
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1667633/000104746920001349/a2240913zsc14d9.htm#da42701_item_3._past_contacts,_transac__ite02384

arql
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1019695/000110465919073484/tv534682-sc14d9.htm

mdco
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1113481/000104746919006661/a2240222zsc14d9.htm

thor
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1609727/000119312519322708/d855631dsc14d9.htm

ot centerview on m&a via bbg

“How many people have had a deal in trouble the past two weeks?” Effron, co-founder of Centerview Partners, said in a presentation Thursday at Tulane University’s Corporate Law Institute conference in New Orleans. “Volatility hurts M&A, the longer it goes, the more quiet it is.”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-05/centerview-s-effron-says-virus-impacting-m-a-more-than-election