Replies to post #20209 on The Rising Influence of Rising Affluence

[semi_infinite]

I didn't talk about time scale and that is anyone's guess. That is also what we are experimenting with now while results of the experiment will be lived with by future generations. Hawking guessed a thousand years but the end state is easy to estimate just using a back of the envelop calculation like the one that Exxon did for Pres. Johnson. The tables in the appendix portion of Poling and Prausnits is all you need along with basic thermodynamics. You didn't understand that the prior propaganda has ALWAYS been that the climate models were over predicting temperature rise or that time scale of change was too pessimistic. I am sure that many that depend on the fossil fuel infrastructure for their livelihoods and fossil fuel alumni will argue that the empirical data now being gathered is just a bunch of garbage and that the models are right after all. I will restate that the current state of computing still does not allow for accurate modeling of the climate and the time scale and temperature heat distributions will not get close to the empirical data for at least another decade.