Replies to post #29433 on Market Direction and Stock Trends

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Microsoft wins Pentagon’s $10 billion JEDI cloud contract, beating Amazon
By: MarketWatch | October 25, 2019

Amazon spokesman says company is ‘surprised’ that AWS was beaten for hotly contested cloud project that led to Oracle lawsuit

With its stunning win of a lucrative $10 billion Pentagon technology contract Friday, Microsoft Corp. not only beat Amazon.com Inc. but also uprooted its larger rival as the federal government’s go-to cloud-computing vendor.

Microsoft’s MSFT, +0.56% cloud-computing powerhouse Azure, which scored another multibillion-dollar government contract in August, was awarded the Joint Enterprise Defense Infrastructure, or JEDI, contract Friday afternoon, edging out presumptive favorite Amazon Web Services. Oracle Corp. ORCL, -0.17% and International Business Machines Corp. IBM, +1.02% were eliminated earlier in the contentious monthslong bidding process, prompting Oracle to file a lawsuit disputing the selection process.

The Pentagon issued a short statement of Microsoft’s win late Friday on its website.

Amazon AMZN, -1.09% was long considered the slam-dunk favorite to land the 10-year deal, due in part to its $600 million cloud contract with the CIA and its expertise in streamlined data transfer, automated compliance systems and data-sharing platforms. More than 5,000 government agencies use AWS.

“We’re surprised about this conclusion,” an AWS spokesman told MarketWatch. “AWS is the clear leader in cloud computing, and a detailed assessment purely on the comparative offerings clearly lead to a different conclusion. We remain deeply committed to continuing to innovate for the new digital battlefield where security, efficiency, resiliency, and scalability of resources can be the difference between success and failure.”

Microsoft was not immediately available for comment.

The JEDI award sent Microsoft shares up 3% in after-hours trading Friday; Amazon’s stock was down 0.8%.

Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives called Microsoft’s win a “game changer” that will “have a ripple effect” for the company’s cloud business for years.

“While AWS/Amazon have been in pole position to win this deal over the last year, our Beltway contacts had talked about Microsoft making ‘steady and impressive progress’ and significantly narrowed the gap over the last six months with the odds of a win looking more like a realistic possibility for Redmond vs. a pipe dream a year ago,” Ives said in a note late Friday.

The relationship between Amazon and the Pentagon was heavily scrutinized, and the procurement process was frozen since Aug. 1 while Defense Secretary Mark Esper examined the process. Esper recused himself on Tuesday from the contract’s award earlier this week. Stoking the animosity, President Trump publicly excoriated Amazon Chief Executive Jeff Bezos — who also owns The Washington Post — and ordered a review of the contract in July.

The surprise Microsoft win comes two months after the Defense Department and General Services Administration awarded the 10-year, $7.6 billion Defense Enterprise Office Solution (DEOS) contract to Microsoft vendors following a monthslong evaluation process by the GSA. DEOS would provide email, calendar, video-calling and other productivity tools to the U.S. military.

Despite the setback, AWS remains the dominant player in the cloud market.

The global public cloud services market is projected to grow to $221.6 billion in 2019 and reach $344.9 billion by 2022, according to market researcher Gartner. AWS is the clear winner in the market’s fastest-growing segment, infrastructure as a service, or IaaS. The segment is expected to reach $74.1 billion by 2022, and AWS currently is its largest vendor, with 48% of the market.

During 2017, Amazon was No. 1, with 49% of the IaaS market. Among the company’s big-name clients: Netflix Inc. NFLX, +1.96% , General Electric Co. GE, +0.56% , Comcast Corp. CMCSA, +1.81% , Apple Inc. AAPL, +1.23% , Lyft Inc. LYFT, +1.88% , Verizon Communications Inc. VZ, -0.35% , and McDonald’s Corp. MCD, -0.72% .

On Thursday, the company announced that AWS revenue climbed 35% to $9 billion year-over-year in the third quarter, though that was its slowest growth rate in more than five years. Microsoft’s Azure grew 59% in the quarter, the company revealed a day earlier, though it does not disclose gross revenue for the Azure unit. Alphabet Inc.’s GOOGL, +0.41% GOOG, +0.33% Google Cloud ison an $8 billion annual run-rate, according to an irregular disclosure last quarter by executives.

Earlier this month, Oracle vowed to add about 2,000 jobs to its cloud operations to compete with Amazon and Microsoft. Oracle declined to tell MarketWatch where most of the hires will take place.

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:::: Dow Jones Industrials Index (DJIA) - Monthly Summary Analysis »» New Pattern Forming
By: Marty Armstrong | October 26, 2019

THE IMMEDIATE ANALYTICAL STANCE AS OF THE CLOSE OF Fri. Oct. 25, 2019: Dow Jones Industrials closed today at 2695806 and is trading up about 15% for the year from last year's closing of 2332746. At the moment, this market has been declining for 3 months. This price action here in October is reflecting that this has been still a bearish reactionary trend on the monthly level. As we stand right now, this market has made a new low breaking under the previous month's low dropping to 2574346 intraday yet it remains trading back above that previous low of 2691683 implying near-term strength.


As of now, the market remains bullish on the momentum indicator yet neutral on the short-term trend indicator while the long-term trend is bullish and our cyclical strength is bearish.

During this year, we have exceeded last year's high thereby making a new historical major high to date and we have been in a bull market for a reasonable period of 10 years.

Meanwhile, our technical resistance stands at 2818645 and it will require a closing above this level to signal a breakout of the upside is unfolding. Nevertheless, our technical support lies at 1881635 which is still holding at this time. At this moment, the market remains between these two projections leaving it neutral on a technical basis.

A possible change in near-term trend is likely as we approach November in Dow Jones Industrials. Consequently, be on guard with this target. The last cyclical event was a high established back during July. Normally, this implies that the next turning point should be a low. However, the market has been neutral for right now, so caution is advisable. Watch the short-term trading levels for a hint of the next directional move into that target time frame. Last month produced a high at 2730673 but closed on the positive side and so far, we have broken beneath last month's low 2597822 closing yesterday at 2695806. We now need to close beneath 2661621 on a monthly basis to imply a technical reversal of trend to the downside for now.

Critical support still underlies this market at 2606258 and a break of that level on a monthly closing basis would warn that a sustainable decline ahead becomes possible. Nevertheless, the market is trading below last month's low warning of weakness at this time. On a broader perspective, this market remains in an uptrend posture on all our indicators looking at the monthly level. We see here the trend has been moving up for the past 9 months. The previous low of 2171253 made during December 2018 on the Monthly level has held and only a break of 2533960 on a closing basis would warn of a technical near-term change in trend. The previous high made during July on the Monthly level at 2739868 remains significant technically and only exceeding that level on a closing basis would suggest a reversal in the immediate trend.

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