Replies to post #25414 on Cel Sci Corporation (CVM)

[lightrock]

If it matters,

The way I am calculating for this is slightly different today.

I am figuring that 'they' CVM/ERGOMED, used a more traditional
calculation and came up with a revision for September, meaning
that traditional spreadsheets and statistics predicted that
298 would be due more or less now. And I am counting on the
fact that Ergomed would be king of the knowledge of actual events
so far and traditional stats. ( last update was March 5 to expected
end date )

The monte carlo said no, there's 14 different, or in other words
298 - 14 = 284. ( just between Feb and Today )

Otherwise the rate of events are pretty much the same, about
12 days per event or 2 or so per month.

I believe that the way we do this is slightly different, Fosco
and I, but still, look... right in the same spot.

Being the end of a week, when doctors and surgeons may finally
be coming up for air long enough to report any "events this week"...
Fridays are for that reason good days for news to happen, if not
quite all the way to report and publish.

[sab63090]

@georgebailey

Although I don't read Yahoo "conversations", I certainly appreciate this update from you on Fosco's thinking...looks like he is now going out to December or later as opposed to October.

We need patience and I'll be honest, I'm not good at that.

Normally, the market anticipates events, but in this case anything could happen at any time, so not only are we at risk for games to be played, but also the shorts, too.

Maybe the outsized option trading lately points to some hedging tactics along with spec interests.

Actually, the trading has been OK, but last time I was "comfortable" with a moderate pullback we got hit with an anvil shortly thereafter.

[greens12]

Sounds about right , i am already prepared for this trial to go to Q1 2020... how many days do you think it will take Geert to compile data and PR it when they find out 298 event has happened ?

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