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Re: greens12 post# 25413

Friday, 09/20/2019 1:08:56 PM

Friday, September 20, 2019 1:08:56 PM

Post# of 43803
From Fosco om Yahoo
My maths finds currently between 282 and 289 events away depending on dropout ratio and a pace between 2.4 and 3 per month, this gives an end date between late December and mid April latest. So we are on the same page.
This said events will happen the way they happen and no math can predict this accurately
Regarding IDMC declaring trial is done, I remember from my discussion with Dr Talor : the figure of 10 events away meaning 2% less of significance. They need 95% significance at least and that's how 298 is calibrated if we are too many events away in september, we might not have this significance, yet.
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