It's interesting to me how far thought and analysis can go depending on what you're doing. I worked for a decent sized commercial electrical contractor from age 15-26. They brought in tons of heavy gauge copper to strip and scrap. Back around 08/09 copper was cheap. The owners were scrapping thousands of pounds of stripped copper for like 1/3 of what they were getting a year ago. I thought, man that's stupid. So I printed out a graph of copper prices that I found online, went into the office and showed it to the President. I said, check this out, why don't you sit on the copper and wait? It has to go back up at some point. Light bulbs came on.
I was like the smartest guy in the world on that day.