Replies to post #18058 on Cel Sci Corporation (CVM)

[Fosco1]

doingmy best

I am reposting for you my spreadsheet hereunder
As lightrock said, you need precise numbers because the mere one event in one arm or the other matters a lot
CVM initial soc survival model : 55% Y3, 43% Y5 was way too pessimistic (tab1). I assumed a more conservative approach on tab2 (63% Y3 / 54% Y5). This is for the inclusion criteria of the study : stage III and IVa (non metastatic) H&N cancers.
Tab 4 is same model as Tab2 with events dates matching real events as measured in feb 2017 and 2018 (and better survival : end date oct 2019)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qW36sMXgKvx2_76GPF3fjmXFYApgsOUq0vU1qlumz6w/edit#gid=1323197717