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biowreck

01/15/19 8:30 PM

#172506 RE: circuitcity #172496

Circuit i think ur right lol, my calc says 5.6e10 :). But thats still assuming 100% market penetration
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sts66

01/16/19 3:39 PM

#172647 RE: circuitcity #172496

Your calculator and/or assumptions are off too - per HDG's post #172284, AMRN nets ~$120/scrip, so 20M x $120 x 12 = $28.8B/yr. Not that I believe V will ever sell that much in the US in any given year, just used the numbers being bandied about in this thread of 20M patients. Assumptions of such a big (and continuous) market penetration of ~50% for a single drug are just far too high IMO.