Why? The ex-date is when you qualify. On the ex-date the share price drops by the amount distributed. Not always, there are some inefficiencies especially on OTC, but usually. If it is communicated properly (By SIAF, and FINRA on the ex-date). And I expect it to be.
But we have a very strange situation here. If the market makers plan to drop it by $1 then we should be trading higher than $1.50 even. Perhaps as much as $2.50. But that will not happen either. So I expect it to be around $1.50. Then, on the ex-date the market makers will beat it down but they can never beat it down by a whole dollar IMO. Because there will be those of us loading up quickly, anticipating the 2nd distribution. If it drops from $1.50 to $0.50 then it will be too cheap. So I expect it to drop to $0.80 maybe, and recover quickly afterwards.
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