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terry hallinan

06/30/18 7:43 PM

#38718 RE: JohnnyLightwave #38717

JohnnyLightwave,

Back in the day I personally worked on some very advanced microwave circuits in very small packages.

And long before that I knew cool photons would soon replace hot, pokey electrons.

A teensy, tiny Control Data supercomputer to meet the coming overwhelming challenge of Japan's "Fifth Generation" AI was yet bulked up enormously for plumbing of liquid nitrogen to cool the monster but could still be held in one hand. With cool photons one might lose the super computer under a fingernail like a co-worker in Vietnam did with tiny film from a camera built into a general's eyeglasses.

Not making fun of you, Johnny. Not in the least. Only noting obsolescence that once took generations moves faster and faster as old men remember too well what they once did and forget what they couldn't.

My father scoffed at the old men in Ireland who railed against younger men having horses do all the work. Surprisingly he knew the sweat and tears and dangers of working with horses but recognized machines were no bed of roses for the younger generation.

Not only Control Data's supercomputer, and the consortium of companies built by GE's bungling efforts to overwhelm the IBM upstart trying to meet the scary Fifth Generation AI threat, were blown away along with Japan's fantasy that lives on in a comedic way with the preposterous quantum computer phantasmagoria.

We both know, Johnny, that the magical glop that tames photons that don't actually exist will change the world and probably very soon. We know that for very, very, very, absolute certain - almost.

Dr. Emanuel Lasker was a very bright man, an idol of the autistic young Albert Einstein. Well Dr. Lasker might have been an idol of young Albert as the World Chess Champion for 22 years had an estimated IQ rating higher than all the other world chess champions and even that of the latter day Einstein.

"Dr. Lasker," asked a reporter, "don't you have to have an enormous memory of good moves to be world champion."

"The key to winning chess games," opined the old pirate, "is not remembering good moves but forgetting bad ones."

Best, Terry

prototype_101

07/01/18 9:28 PM

#38729 RE: JohnnyLightwave #38717

JohnnyLightwave thanks for the input, any other tech types want to weigh in on the following:

I know the optimized 50Gbs modulator packaged proto seems to be the only focus investors have in mind currently, and while yes this will open the door to a $300-$400 million market on its own, the fact is that this is really only a stepping stone to the next chapter, the P2IC Platform development of PIC's using the 50Gbs modualtor, so I wonder how much effort is currently being focused on the PIC developments, it almost seems that overcoming the parasitics between the modulator and standard packaging may not be worth the effort when stopping to consider the fact that the PIC market for ROSA/TOSA Optical Engines is currently well over 10 times the market size, and I don't believe the parasitics will be at issue when the hermetic seal is done at the wafer level, would appreciate thoughts on this from our more technical savvy posters, Rick, Richard, Photonics Guy, etc, tia