I wonder if those that all but guarantee $100's of Billions coming back consider the possibility we could see a minimal return or nothing at all, and how that would affect those who've held unrealistic expectations for the last 6-10 years.
I've for many years now tempered my expectations, even more so now, so that if $40B, $2-$10B, $100M or ZERO comes back I won't be even mildly distraught.