I would agree with most of what you said, except the last week for me the risks of a recession increased dramatically, with the possibility of a trade war. Which by the way if it come to pass will totally undo the benefits of the tax cut. If not do even worse harm. I hope I am just worried for no reason, but I could see countless ways this doesn't go well. But one thing is for sure the return of more normal volatility is back so that will make thing get back to more normal, where buying weakness and selling strength is a more successful strategy than the momo guy we see run the market in 2017. All is just my opinion, and I could always be wrong though.
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