we have of course only the brief account of Rogers presence to rely on. But from what I understood so far is that EITHER they will publish after this spring or next spring 2019, then top line (AA could be triggered at any point of course by nothing is indicating in that direction).
So because LP has iterated once more she is so keen of a long tail OS AND as you say everybody is REALLY living longer (and therefore the 233 count has not been made). Then a fair guess is that it will take until affter spring 2019,... ? looking forward for your reply