Mike, had to grab my asbestos raincoat before I replied :-)
First, you are actually making an attempt to be rational on the odds, which will garner no support around here.
I do agree that $5+ would be possible upon an FDA approval (or even ODAC ADCOM vote). Could even spike over as that is the way this goes.
I doubt the large numbers some talk about is possible unless they do well more than that. Most will view DCVax-L as a DC agent that worked in glio, and that is all. They will really have to prove more than this to go any farther.
DISCLAIMER: As you are new here; I am very much a doubter of the company. Actually, I would not trust LP to answer correctly if asked the time of day.