I would not claim to have the in depth knowledge of charting to critique your thorough analysis.
My question for chart readers, aren't you assuming an "all things held constant" scenario?
Por Ejemplo: The charts do not, and simply cannot, take into account a future +/- 50% movement of the value of Bitcoin.
I believe a +/- 50% future action would override your analysis.
Or am I misinterpreting what the data represents because included in the historical data are in fact fluctuations in the value of Bitcoin.
I don't know if I have crafted my comment correctly or not.
It's not meant to be a criticism of charting