I don't know about trips, but, I see this easily going down to 2s or high 1s. Of course, once it starts it could fall to trips. This would be a 50%+ beatdown for anybody with bags of 4s. My advice - get out now with small gains or losses. Maybe buy back in 2018 when more is known and verifiable - and, the pps is lower. Just keeping it real. Good luck. Go DEWM