Replies to post #129697 on NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[Sparky277]

Agreed. There are days when I feel like throwing up over what I read and days when I feel on top of the world. Nothing means anything until results come out. Things I am hoping for but have zero control of:
1. Cofer Black investigation
2. Peer article
3. Phase 3 results
4. FDA approval
5. Direct phase 2 start
6. Stock price over $10

Just patiently waiting, passing the time watching some very interesting and intelligent people speculate and hypothesize with known and unknown data. In the end the results will speak for themselves. I am really hoping that I am on the right side of something really special here or I am going to be very disappointed. I knew all the risks when I invested, but no one ever wants to learn from their own mistakes no matter how big or small. All the best of luck to everyone.

[kabunushi]

Leprecon's results are solid in establishing how the dc-vax trial fares vs SOC assuming that the trial population is anything like the prior trials. That's actually the best we can do because we don't know how much the crossover effects will make the placebo group different from the treatment when the placebo group is taken to include the crossovers, as it must. All we can do is make this kind of educated guess because the trial data remains blinded. One thing is quite certain, that is as LL told us a long time back, "everybody is living a lot longer".

The market agrees with you that the data points we have including how many are alive as of 6/2017 and when the patients were all enrolled isn't enough to reliably predict success. I strongly disagree with that - as far as I can tell there is strong reason to believe the results will be quite ground breaking and will support almost certain approval once the full data is revealed and even the initial topline data will be strong enough to move the market considerably. Yes, we have to wait, that's just how it absolutely goes with any stock like this so tied to the clinical results! There is just no way around waiting for the data, though we can make some educated guesses based on everything we do know.