Replies to post #106511 on Anavex Life Sciences Corp (AVXL)

[falconer66a]

That's a question for each potential AVXL investor.

Everyone, personally, will have to decide for himself the reasons affecting the purchase or holding of AVXL shares.

Stock investing being what it is (seldom with any absolutely sure outcomes), everyone should have skepticisms about AVXL. I have some myself. There is still a chance the company won't be able to arrange or conduct the big, required Phase 3 affirmation trial, and FDA approval would be denied. Outside chance some Big Pharma might buy out the company, so as to keep the drugs off the market, allowing other approaches to go forward. Long chance that the symptomatic relief of Anavex 2-73 against Alzheimer's begins to fade after some long period, causing resumption of cognitive decline. Outside chance Anavex 2-73 might cause some long-term adverse events, some side effects affecting the heart, other organs, or could be carcinogenic. The ponderable list of bad outcomes could be gigantic. Personally, I think all of these are remote.

Consequently, I've not bet my ranch (or entire speculation investment fraction) on AVXL. If I'm all wrong, and Anavex Life Science Corp fails, I will have lost a few thousand dollars, dollars that at the very start I knew were informed speculations. Their loss will not change my financial status in any appreciable way.

But if Anavex succeeds as I believe it will, my financial rewards will be handsome. I continue to sleep well each night. I won't be investing in any pharmaceutical still trying to clear waste proteins. Not a shred of evidence that can safely and effectively work. I've done my due diligence on Anavex, and am confident and satisfied with my small investment.

So, just what should a potential AVXL purchaser do if he intelligently has reservations about the company? That's investment advice, beyond my expertise and experience. Common sense must reign. Don't invest funds you can't afford to lose. Like most equity purchases, AVXL has unknown, uncertain degrees of risk --- likewise with remarkable levels of favorable returns in ensuing years, I believe.

Want a sure-bet investment? Buy some US government bonds. Yield is low, but the return is rather certain. Want some potential big returns, do your own due diligence and search for equities with a promising, evidence-based future. Personally, I think Anavex Life Sciences Corp is just such a company. If it goes bust, I'll continue to live just as I am. My investment here is but a tiny fraction of my net worth.

I wish the best for all, Anavex believers, and Anavex skeptics. Think hard on all of this.