Replies to post #3288 on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc (AUPH)

[tiv111]

Aurora is not an exact repeat. Not to state the obvious but all the P3 patients are different than the P2 patients. Regression to the mean is a real thing. That is to say, the P2 results could be the result of hitting the jackpot with the P2 enrollment. Statistically speaking P3 results could vary significantly from the P2 results even if all the same procedures are followed. I'm Long this stock big time right now and I'm counting on an early BO but if we don't see a BO before P3 results i will considerably reduce my holdings or protect myself with options. Im all for optimism but at the same time be sure to take all possible outcomes into account.