Replies to post #101249 on Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[biofalcon]

saw an asterisk next to my prediction, as in case of continue as interesting. my reasoning is that it will be a continue, not disclosing the percentage, but after it is completed that is what my guess is the percentage was. Why continue with a good result? because of desire to get more stat significant secondary endpoints

[Chris2125]

HDGabor,my message was deleted for some reason...



Stop / March 31 / July 14 / 30% RRR

[VuBru]

My guess was off by 5 days...darn it!

[Mikenac]

Okay. Looks like I was the only one who had March 16th right.

[HDGabor]

"Guess the V Day" contest #2 [(c)JL ]

1st stage winner (1st category) is:
1/1: irc203: Mar. 17. (submitted: Friday, 11/25/16 09:13:30 AM)
1/2: tasgrewaf: Mar. 15. (submitted: Thursday, 12/01/16 02:42:34 PM)

Subcategory:
1st stage winner (2nd category / submitted after deadline) is:
Mikenac: Mar. 16. (submitted: Monday, 01/16/17 11:31:42 AM)

...............................................................................................................................................................................

- outcome: stop (as it is) or cont. (as it is) or futility
- interim event / announcement (start of the process, was March 31, 2016 @ 1st) - mmm.dd (d1)
- interim announcement (was September 12, 2016 @ 1st) - mmm.dd (d2)
- Eff% - xx.xx%

Rules (if you have different proposal, please advise):
* weight:
- interim event - 30% (w1)
- interim announcement (DMC recommendation) - 30% (w2)
- Eff% - 40% (w3)
(if interim event date won't be available: 50-50%)
* difference:
- D1: ABS (real interim event - d1)
- D2: ABS (real interim announcement (DMC recommendation) - d2)
* D3: difference in percentage 2 digits, eg. 1.15% diff = 115 score (Eff% - d2)
* d1 x w1+ d2 x w2 +d3 x w3 = score
* lowest score will win

"Sub-rules":
- no data = the highest score in the category + 10%

...............................................................................................................................................................................

isaeed: stop / Jan. 31. / May. 15. / 23.67%
ziploc_1: stop / Feb. 01. / May. 01. / 35.00%
mrmainstreet: cont. / Feb. 01. / Jul. 03. / na
CaptBeer: cont. / Feb. 02. / Jun. 19. / na
KChung: stop / Feb. 23. / Jun. 12. / 34.00%
zumantu: stop / Feb. 23. / Jun. 22. / 30.50%
centurycom: stop / Feb. 23. / Aug. 16. / 28.00%
marzan: stop / Feb. 24. / May. 24. / 53.00%
HDGabor: stop / Feb 24. (10-K CC) / Jun 12. / 36.00%
drrc1949: stop / Feb. 27. / Aug. 09. / 35.00%
FlyFishingStocks: stop / Feb. 28. / May. 30. / 47.00%
Biofalcon: cont. / Mar. 06.** / Jul. 20. / 23.00%*
rafunrafun: cont. / Mar. 13. / Jul. 17. / 33.00%*
invest2992: stop / Mar. 14. / Jul. 10. / 33.33%
Biobillionair: stop / Mar. 14. / Aug. 14. / 45.00%
tasgrewaf: stop / Mar. 15. / Jun. 15. / 23.45%
irc203: stop / Mar. 17. / Jul. 25. / 27.00%
slowmover: stop / Mar. 20. / Jun. 28. / 22.50%
lbwagain: stop / Mar. 20. / Jul. 12. / 33.00%
VuBru: stop / Mar. 21. / Jun. 20. / 19.50%
Hspooner: stop / Mar. 24. / Jun. 23. / 31.00%
ibew 488: stop / Mar. 24. / Jul. 27. / 35.00%
bfost: stop / Mar. 27.** / Jul. 26. / 26.00%
Mochachip: stop / Mar. 31. / Jul. 31. / na
oneragman: stop / Mar. 31. / Aug. 07. / 31.00%
hayward: stop / Apr. 03.** / Aug. 01. / 33.00%
Pharmacydude: stop / Apr. 03. / Sep. 05. / 25.00%
Nukemtiltheyglow: stop / Apr. 04. / Jun. 23. / 25.00%
Whalatane: stop / Apr. 17.** / Jul. 31.** / 19.00%
rydad21: stop / Apr. 17. / Jul. 17. / 24.00%
Hondo1021: stop / Apr. 20. / Jun. 23. / 28.00%
annac: stop /Apr. 24.** / Jul. 24. / 20,00%
heysfguy: stop / Apr. 24.** / Jul. 24.** / 22.00%

...............................................................................................................................................................................
submitted after deadline:

Albino2: stop / Feb. 06. / May. 31. / 39.00%
Pyrrhonian: cont. / Mar. 02. / Jun. 12. / 5.00% *
Mikenac: stop / Mar. 16. / Jul. 12. / 35.00%
chas1232123: stop / Mar. 31. / May. 22.** / 38.00%
Chris2125: stop / Mar. 31. / Jul. 14. / 30.00%
staccani: stop / Mar. 31. / Jul. 17.** / 27.00%
epenephrine: stop / Apr. 17.** / Jun. 27. / 42.00%
James364202: stop / Apr. 03. / Jul. 03. / 40.00%

...............................................................................................................................................................................
* in case of cont. RRR projection is interesting ...
** Sat / Sun was modified for the next weekday

...............................................................................................................................................................................

Best,
G

[grbnitz4002]

Does anyone know what countries are included in multi nation Reduce It trial? Thanks in advance

[drrc1949]

HDG, what was the actual date for the 80% IA?

[HDGabor]

"Guess the V Day" contest #3 [(c)JL ]

If you wish submit your guess (or update your guess) till December 31, 2017.

- onset (start of the process, was March 31, 2016 @ 1st and March 16, 2017 @ 2nd) - mmm.dd (d1) Please do not guess a Sat or Sun or a US Holiday ...
- top line result announcement (was (DMC rec.) September 12, 2016 @ 1st and August 14, 2017 @ 2nd) - mmm.dd (d2) Please do not guess a Sat or Sun or a US Holiday ...
- Eff% - xx.xx% (r)

Rules (if you have different proposal, please advise):
* weight:
- onset - 30% (w1)
- announcement (top line result) - 30% (w2)
- Eff% - 40% (w3)

* difference:
- D1: ABS (real date of onset - d1)
- D2: ABS (real date of announcement - d2)
* D3: (ABS (RRR - r)) - difference of r (and RRR) in percentage 2 digits, eg. 1.15% diff = 115 score
* D1 x w1 + D2 x w2 + D3 x w3 = score
* lowest score will win

"Sub-rules" (if you have different proposal, please advise):
- no data = the highest score in the category + 10%

Please note: (more likely) top line result won't include Eff. % data, it will be announced later.

...............................................................................................................................................................................

HDGabor: Mar 01. / Jun 12. / 36.00% ... (detailed result: ESC 2018)

...............................................................................................................................................................................

Best,
G