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Invest83838

02/24/17 6:38 AM

#101036 RE: FlyFishingStocks #101032

Realistic Analysis Fishy


Your pretty pictures are finally telling a cautionary tale

and I agree.

Until real news hits, the stock price will pull back over time

and I doubt there is any real news that comes out

during the upcoming Amarin Management report & conference call.

jessellivermore

02/24/17 8:11 AM

#101039 RE: FlyFishingStocks #101032

FFS...

The game of predicting the future is a difficult one.

Quoting your post.."I hate to throw a wet blanket on your euphoria but today's recovery merely back tested the area where the breakdown accelerated, and the pullup had no strength behind it."

I doubt Livermore would agree with your statement..We are clearly in an up trend and have been for some time..There was nothing in yesterdays price action or in anything in the last week or so that suggests the trend has been broken..It is very common and healthy to see reactions (price drops) in up trends just as you see price increases in down trends..

We have not seen anything that meets the criteria of a "one day reversal" in the past couple of weeks..I liked the interday reversal we saw yesterday and the PPS certainly did not close on the low...the price decline occurred in the morning (amateurs) and went up in the PM (players)...

But as always none of us can be absolutely certain of the future..So we await the morning's coming danger...

":>) JL

FishyFingers

02/24/17 9:19 AM

#101046 RE: FlyFishingStocks #101032

"Euphoria"????? Hahahaha. The share price closes at 3.33 and you think im euphoric about that?? I am a very long way from euphoric I can assure you. If this ever closes >$20 then I may feel a very mild sense of euphoria, but I wouldnt bet on it. More of a sense of "relief" and "good riddance" I imagine.

Yes, I said I aim for >90% accuracy with my trades and mentioned several times before that I do not day trade stocks, and dont touch anything under a billion $ market cap, and/or under $5. Im firing out a prediction here for the hell of it based on my interpretation of the information I see in front of me on the daily charts with my knowledge of whats going on in the weekly and monthly charts.

Aiming for >90% accuracy with ones trades is not the same as ones level of confidence going into each individual trade. As you are well aware there is NO trading method out there that offers 100% accuracy guaranteed. The method I use, trading on the coattails of the smart money using volume and price spread analysis, is the closest thing out there that I am aware of, but it "only" offers about a 90% probability of being correct. I just read the charts by eye alone (without the aid of any software), and I am sure that there are computer programs out there with fancy algorithms that offer >95% but I imagine they are for the exclusive use of private funds. Whatever, there's more to life than trading markets so im more than happy to have found a method that can offer me >90% if I apply it correctly. I've only been at this a couple of years so im still learning but im content with where I am today.

Thanks for posting the charts and your interpretation. I disagree strongly with what you say about the 60 minute price action....

You have marked a block of 4 volume bars red and remarked "no buyers". Eh, what?? The 1st bar with the slightly higher than average volume - agreed. The 2nd bar marked down with the almost triple average volume - agreed. The 3rd bar marked down to 3.16 and then recovered to close at 3.21 on even higher volume than the bar before it - you are telling me there were no buyers? Im not having that. Why did it close over half way up the price bar if there were "no buyers"? Bar 4. This closes higher again! If that massive volume spike on bar 3 contained "no buyers" as you claim, then how is it possible for bar 4 to close higher? And what about bar 5? Closed higher again. Sorry but I aint buying your interpretation. Defies logic.

Lets see what todays action brings. You are suggesting that we may go back down under $3 again "BB just might get his chance to buy more". I say we have a better chance of testing that 3.65 resistance before this goes under $3 again. We'll see.

I consider you to be more of an "expert" at this game so lets see who's right. I dont have any issues with being wrong. Being wrong and accepting it is what got me this far. How many years did you say you've been pro trading? And you have a book out, yes?