Replies to post #832 on Alon USA Partners, LP (ALDW)

[jugs]

Dang! Look at 'er go!

Yesterday I was thinking that one of these days real soon we might just see ALDW jump up a dollar. Now, with 70 minutes to go, I'm not really expecting that to happen but I'll accept it with great humility. And an empty pocket ready to receive this lovely bounty.

We're ahead on the day by 56 cents currently. I'm nearly flat-lining at the moment with a deficit shown to be about $600. Incredible things happening.

This is what I expected to result from the Citigroup upgrade. It's so nice to find things meeting expectations.

The big question, of course, is this: "But will it hold up at the end of the day?"

I have no answer but I'm confident that this ride ain't over until the fat lady sings. And I'm not inviting any singin' fat ladies over for dinner, either. lol

I'll be more than satisfied if we close at $9. even. That would represent quite a strong upward bias for the week.

Stay tuned as this ride ain't nowhere's done yet. We need to be thinking in terms of points well beyond the next distribution. I'm focusing on what happens between now and June of 2017. It's hardly more than a half year, not long at all.

[jugs]

Agreed---I see no reason whatsoever to worry.

ALDW represents my largest position in terms of current salable asset value. NGL comes in a close second. ALDW is underwater a thousand bucks yet as of last night I ran the numbers and found I'm up 45.3% YTD. If things continue as I expect, the overall result will be in the 55% range. I'm good with that.

The important thing in this sort of analytical examination is certainly not about money. It's about gauging an investor's effectiveness and nothing else. I'm the investor I watch.

With seventeen stocks in the portfolios, it is notable in my opinion that my largest position has been (and remains) a detractor, not yet contributing to financial success. Notwithstanding, 45.3% is not anything to be ashamed of, given that we are entering our two strongest months of the year. Mine is largely an energy-based portfolio and should not be viewed lightly.

If nothing else, I view ALDW as the most likely-pick-to-succeed right now---today. If I can add at ANYTHING under my cost basis of $9.31 come Monday morning, I'll be in the ring reaching for gold. This in one of those life-defining moments where money is the least of all concerns---it's far more a matter of standing committed and exercising free choice with courage.

I struggle with this every trading day of the week, every hour and even every few minutes. I run scared just like others. The only difference I can see is that I refuse to give in to my fears because I know that would surely seal my doom.

So while I may go down with the ship, at least it will have been my ship and I'll have been the biggest fool on this ship of one fool.

Still, finding I'm nearly halfway towards doubling my investment value DESPITE no gains attributable to ALDW? That's a shocker, even for me.

Good luck to you, cat---I can feel your struggle. I suspect it's so much like my own.