I am always willing to respond to an intelligent poster even if they disagree with me and you clearly are one.
I wanted to make clear that my source is not inside the company and the information is not of the inside-type. I understand you did not assert it was.
As for the estimated probabilities, how would you gauge the probability of a material bullish even occurring within in 3 and 6 months? I would be grateful for your view on this, if you have one.