Replies to post #75994 on Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[Sam81]

MOG, you never replied back to me & what i wrote and asked you directly answers your recent post....im still waiting, 6days 2hrs 58min and 5sec without a reply, and counting.....

24/03/2016 @6:54:16am
"Mog,

Going along with your logic about need of financing;
you say this will remove the financial overhang BUT now they will be forced to dilute at horrible horrible prices....etc

So supposing Red-It wasn't stopped @ Interim (among other things, one of the Positive thing of this will the a confirmation of No futility) & AMRN decides to raise capital...thus removing a financial overhang, Not just that, it is now supported and market knows that Red-It is working, no futility, and will most probably achieve the minimum required 15%....combining in your own logic these together, i think the financing will not affect the stock, on the contrary it will have a positive impact just like the double digit increase in CPXX Case

Looking forward for your feedback and i am interested to read the twist in logic that you will use to prove your point while bashing the stock - company & management"

[rafunrafun]

Do I understand you correctly, even you believe that RI @ FINAL is more likely to succeed than fail? Can you give me your confidence level, in percentage, of stop / continue at interim, and success / fail at final? Of course no one knows for sure, but it's not just a stupid guessing game, you must have some numbers in your head.

For example, I think interim - stop for efficacy 65%, stop for futility 1%, continue 34%.

At final - success 97%, failure 3%.

What are your numbers?

If RI succeeds at final, you pretty much guarantee to 5x the current price, right? So even if there is the slightest remote chance of early stop for efficacy, how do you not take this chance now, knowing that you are at least fifty fifty to 5x your money in 2 years?

[HDGabor]

M-

I never said fail, I said no interim stop.

I did not say you said. I mean "failure of stop at interim".

Best,
G