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sludgehound

08/19/15 7:12 PM

#570257 RE: Tuff-Stuff #570246

There are some w/ 2016 target

I've been leaning Sept since the Spring back when earlier was the bet.
Thinking Sept still since no sign it’s off the table from Fed. Subject
to change of course. China, Canada, Australia commodities wild card.
Kind of funny since the two tent poles of jobs & inflation don't appear to be holding back a first raise, warning test shot.
Given how rapid commodity prices can move the Fed may figure, screw it that won't be a real factor since can adjust faster than the tent poles. If they do delay even longer, that signal would be a downer anyway so what's to fear. Be glad when it is done. Chance to get us off the stick.
General population so far doesn't act too shaken up one way or other. Do it before Holidays & then on into next Election.
Some pros make case for 1Q/2Q 2016 but not sure exactly how they arrive at that but who knows.