Replies to post #227301 on Avid Bioservices Inc (CDMO)

[JJ1223]

In view of the absence of any quantifiable guidance from Peregrine, I can't put much faith in any of these simulations.

You are 100% correct....a guess here is nothing more than an opinion supported by data that cannot be verified, regardless of which way the poster leans.

[tradero]

Paul, I guess we both agree that this is all pure speculation... Simulations and models just try to follow reality but obviously they are not reality. Anyway my exercise just shows that the same way some people are positive that 1st lookin has happened some others (also from pure speculation) "think" reasonably otherwise.
Best is knowing not "thinking"... But :-)

On the other hand I am not so sure about what you mentioned:

" when each site came on line, they already had at least one patient."

Well, about 50 miles from where I live there is a Hospital that is enrolling SUNRISE patients. And I now first hand that medical staff from that Hospital had to be trained in London, specifically for Sunrise... So, the Hospital might have signed in for Sunrise and yet there might be a gap from the signature to the enrollment of the first patient... 4 months? I dont know but burocracy some times reings supreme