Yes I do You are looking at the placebo rate of 5.2% I expect V to show about 20% efficacy ...so it will take longer to reach the 967 events . I also expect the placebo rate to be lower then what they expect anyway So I'm at 2nd qt 2016 for 967 events .
But not to worry JL has assured us all on YMB this am that there will be 50% efficacy with V and RI will be stopped long before either of us expect Kiwi