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HDGabor

02/09/15 6:03 PM

#42003 RE: ggwpq #42000

More recent: "The prespecified interim analysis by the independent data monitoring committee at 60% of the targeted events is anticipated in 2016"

Whalatane

02/09/15 6:13 PM

#42004 RE: ggwpq #42000

gg
Does anyone disagree ?

Yes I do
You are looking at the placebo rate of 5.2%
I expect V to show about 20% efficacy ...so it will take longer to reach the 967 events .
I also expect the placebo rate to be lower then what they expect anyway
So I'm at 2nd qt 2016 for 967 events .

But not to worry
JL has assured us all on YMB this am that there will be 50% efficacy with V and RI will be stopped long before either of us expect
Kiwi