Replies to post #25468 on NorthWest Biotherapeutics Inc (NWBO)

[gnawkz]

I agree with you austinmediainc. I do not believe a halt will not cause it to jump to a $6 Billion valuation. It will cause NWBO's PPS to jump, but $6 Billion valuation might be too rich for that.

Germany HE will. Because it provides an initial glimpse of what the potential market is once approval is granted AND what kind of demand is on the backend. That # of Patients on the waiting list is the biggie. Pent-up demand causes true PPS gains.

- The # of patients waiting (potential demand)
- Re-imbursement price from Germany (potential pricing + premium)
- # of Hospitals participating in HE (available supply)

are all real life indicators of potential financial success of NWBO's DCVax-L product after approval. I am confident in the science, but there are a lot of other biotechs that have great science as well. But it is this new avenue that made me invest.

This is the unique factor about NWBO that no other BioTech has. This makes modeling future success easier and more believable then some SWAG market penetration % + patient's willingness to sign up + hypothetical pricing + whatever other assumptions folks come up with to justify their future PPS predictions.

[Rkmatters]

Security Analysis
I. General market factors
II individual factors
A. Speculative stocks and B. Investments { 1. Market Factors {a. technicals b. manipulative c. psychological and 2. Future value factors { a. management and reputation b. competitive conditions and prospects c. possible and probable changes in volume, price and cost and 3. Intrinsic value factors {a. earnings b. dividents c. assets d. capital structure e. terms of the issue f. other } attitude of the public towards the issues } bids and offers } market price.

Anything is possible. :)

[flipper44]

I think the big, smart and cautious money knew there was going to be a trial resizing. I was not experienced enough to internalize this until Larry Smith forced me to consider it before it was announced. He's been around a long time (well not that he's old -- he started analyzing when he was only 3 1/2 years old:) Anyway, he knew it, and so did the other really smart analysts. In hindsight, it made total sense for numerous reasons many of us already discussed.

Regardless, I think that is why there was no pre-pop....the guys with all the chips were waiting for the real show to start. I don't watch price very closely, but when I do, it's always after the market closes. :-)