zip, sure Joel won't mind if I offer a comment on your question to him. Been watching the emotional reactions to insider selling for awhile now and have noticed that it's not a big deal on the threads for most stocks. It's a bigger deal here than anywhere I know of, and I follow a lot of boards. Not sure why that is true, but will try offering a couple of ideas that might lead us toward figuring it out.
How we feel about a piece of news is mostly determined by how that news fits into our own personal expectations according to Oprah and her Oklahoma sidekick(forget his name, but he is the big guy with all the answers). Maybe we are expecting IDCC executives to be investors like we are(i.e., your comments about why would Harry sell a share now if he thinks it will be worth more later?). IMO that's a pretty tight box to put them in because it eliminates a whole lot of other possibilities.
Maybe Harry really IS thinking of taking a salary when he sells some of his shares each year. That's possible when we look at how many he has been getting vs selling in the past few years. And at how many he still has for long term appreciation(i.e., maybe he sells some as salary and then thinks of the rest as investments like we do with ALL of our shares). The after tax proceeds from his sales in recent years might be about what a top exec salary package would be at comparable firms, and it would be the only "salary" he gets from IDCC.....
There are lots of considerations with insider selling for sure, but one thing certain is that with the huge emphasis companies have given to granting stock options in recent years there is going to be a lot of insider selling ahead. Mike Dell, Billy Gates and his sidekick Stevie Ballmer, the QCOM leadership team, Larry Ellison and pretty much everybody else who got "paid" with stock options are selling like there is no tomorrow.
Selling "some" is one thing IMO, selling "out" is another. So far none of the IDCC insiders(other than maybe Lomp when he left to start up his own firm), have shown any signs that they are selling out, so why be concerned about insider selling at IDCC?
Options and insider selling are two sides of the same coin. Let's not suffer them as two separate issues if we have to suffer them at all. I sure don't so far.