I agree with most of this. Most of the note holders could care less about the fundamentals. You can't give them a reason to do anything other than what they do: convert and sell. I think the CEO knows that and I think he's done an impressive job managing these noted for what they are. He's been using this kind of financing for 2 years and to have an OS of only 44mm is nothing short of a miracle. He clearly knows what they are but also clearly made a mistake with one of these notes, either misjudged the fallout or something. Months from now when it's no longer material I would like to hear the inside story. I imagine it's something made for tv. I say that because this company has gone to great lengths to control dilution until 4 weeks ago. Something occurred (we'll never know for sure) that had him allow a nasty note holder to convert...something LTNC has prevented for 2 years.
That's the past though and as you state there are some things that need to happen if LTNC is going to have a pps appreciation.
1) Current toxic notes go away Agreed, but personally I would like to see at least half of them converted into the market. If he pays them out of cash the stock will move before I have the position I want. Greedy I know. 2) Toxic notes are no longer acquired when the current debt is extinguished by conversion or otherwise LTNC will have almost no debt and a TON of revenue and cash flow. Getting conventional financing will be much easier imo. 4) The company demonstrates a consistent trend toward earnings
I think this is already happening. Look at the last few quarters. Adjusted ebitda last quarter was around $400k.
Regarding expansion, I think he has made a good choice to slow or stop new office openings and switch more to acquisitions. This will REALLY fuel earnings, especially with no convertible debt on the books.