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TMLonggun

10/06/14 6:32 PM

#19737 RE: stocktrader1 #19736

Gold may very well have put in a triple bottom today. Maybe the third time is the charm? We have been going down for 3 years so most of us are not feeling optimistic and everyone is frustrated. This is exactly the type of mindset that will mark a possible market bottom. When gold goes up for 3 years in a row we will feel good again and those days will come, and on those days we should sell.

Over the years I have called several bottoms almost exactly - and caught none of the tops because I was too greedy and emotional. In some cases I even recognized that they were tops but convinced myself that it didn't matter, that I was smarter, that my stocks were immune etc. I am harder on myself than anybody and I always try and learn from my mistakes. After seeing many 1000%+ gains wiped out after 2011 I made a new rule for myself: "When convinced of my own genius, sell at least half, recoup my initial investment remind myself that I am just a man, as fallible as any, and that arrogance does not defeat discipline." If I could have sent that on a postcard to myself in 2011 I would have a lot more capital kicking around to buy all the bargains that exist today.

It would be nice to see a sustained rally and really bounce hard off the $1180 level but who really knows? I sold a few silver rounds recently and was able to capture $23/oz (cad), $5+ over spot. There is definitely a huge difference between real metal and paper prices and I am still optimistic that physical constraints will ultimately force metals higher in the long term, to the benefit of many mining companies of various stages of development.

mortalmyth

10/07/14 1:59 PM

#19738 RE: stocktrader1 #19736

stocktrader, yes, tough times currently for gold and the miners. LODE needs to tighten its belt further and slow the dilution until this all turns around and this consolidation phase finally ends. The chart on this stock is terrible. Oh well, there will be better days, just don't know when lol

Have a good one.