Replies to post #9690 on Rambus (RMBS)

[lolo]

Just Get Smart zingie, it is about probability...

Go back and read R.P. Feynman's appendix to the Challenger report.

In it he discusses the disconnect between the engineers
(who estimated failure rate at 1 in 100 flites)
and managers who thought it was 1 in 10,000 flites.

(actuarily it is now 1 in 50).
So, if you think like NASA managers,
your bid would be 99.99% .

I doubt it would compromise your personal convictions,
and even in America we still obey the laws of physics.

Or, as RPF might say,
You can't fool mother nature...
LOLo

[calbiker]

Re. I don't agree about the game rule.

Thanks for the well wishes. Haven't felt so good since 6 weeks ago. The constant flutter is gone. Don't have to listen to my heart constantly going thump-thump. It would wake me up in the morning.

Izingting- you got the wrong impression about the gap estimate. It wasn't intended to be a game. It's supposed to be the investors best estimate. You're the only one who believes it's risk free. I don't want to be apart of any irrational projections.

I would not compromise my pick of 100%.
I have personal convictions and THIS IS AMERICA BABY!!!

I didn't intend to turn this into a carnival, or a game. I don't believe you're being fair to my request. On the other hand, I feel bad about censure. If you wish, I'll provide a new listing. Can we call it IRRATIONAL PROJECTIONS?