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blueskywaves

05/14/03 11:11 AM

#25288 RE: TFWG #25142

It does affect operations and valuation.

Operation-wise, the larger IDCC's cash balance,
the greater its ability to recruit talent and
improve its patent portfolio and hence, the
greater its ability to increase recurring
royalties.

Valuation-wise, the greater IDCC's cash balance,
the greater the enterprise value. Enterprise value
is defined as market capitalization plus long-term
debt less cash and investments. Many view this as
the going concern value of the company. I prefer
to use it to judge the margin of safety in the stock.

The people who got carried away by the misleading
data posted by Ronny and his cronies still don't
understand this.

Here's a table simulating the increase in IDCC's
cash and investment account from the option exercises.
 
INTERDIGITAL (IDCC)
SIMULATED CASH INFUSION FROM OPTION EXERCISES
.....
Price 5M 10M PLUS: TOTAL
Cash/Inv* Cash/Inv
.....
$20 $100M $200M $ 400M $ 500M-600M
$25 125M 250M 400M 525M-650M
$30 150M 300M 400M 550M-700M
$35 175M 350M 400M 575M-750M
$40 200M 400M 400M 600M-800M
...
...
* The simplifying assumptions used are that
all options will be exercised at the same time
AND all the prepaid royalties will come in at
the same time.
...
...
INTERDIGITAL (IDCC)
IMPACT OF SIMULATED CASH/INV LEVELS ON
IDCC'S ENTERPRISE VALUE(EV)
(Market cap PLUS long term debt LESS cash/inv)
.....
.....
Market + Long-term - Total = EV
Price Cap* Debt Cash/Inv
...
...
$20 $ 1.16B NM $ 500-600M $ 560M-660M
$25 1.45B NM 525-650M 800M-925M
$30 1.74B NM 550-700M 1.0B-1.2B
$35 2.03B NM 575-750M 1.3B-1.5B
$40 2.32B NM 600-800M 1.5B-1.7B
...
...
*Assumes O/S of 58M shares.
NM - not meaningful

Keeping the sales, earnings and cash flow growth
assumptions constant, would you pay more for an
emerging growth company with a larger cash and
nvestment account at the cost of minor dilution?

Of course you would.

Keep in mind that this analysis doesn't even
include the substantial tax benefits associated
with option exercises.