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Re: end2war post# 20935

Tuesday, 03/11/2014 2:24:26 PM

Tuesday, March 11, 2014 2:24:26 PM

Post# of 36806
Yeah End2war, thanks for that clarification about the as of date on the outstanding shares. That was a real strange way to present the information, and I think Drlarzo's analysis and yours makes a lot of sense. It was also strange that Hilal was trying to get a handle on how many shares we actually owned...certainly supportive of the NS theory.

And yes, any estimates I have made of the fundamental value of Cetek shares were just a simple 2 times the $10 million in revenues divided by 6.1 billion shares or about .0033. At 4.6 billion shares the valuation would be .0043. Using your calculation of only 2 billion shares, then you get a valuation of .01, and if we only have a billion shares, then we have .02 as a projected market valuation. I'm not even going to put Drlarzo's numbers on here because I'll be accused of pumping, and some moderator here likes to delete my posts. I might also point out that based on Hilal's recent hiring spree that revenues may be rapidly accelerating in the current year, which would adjust these estimates upward of course. Stock price valuations are always forward looking, so these estimates are probably too low. And with Hilal's prowess in the advanced ceramics industry and his known proprietary processes, the company could trade at a market cap higher than 2 times revenues, but let's not quibble.

Of course, I wouldn't even venture to guess how high this stock will trade if the SS is as low as you and Drlarzo think may be the case, because then we know for certain there is a huge naked short position from the pre-Reg SHO days in this stock that will eventually burn when Hilal makes his move.

And maybe, just thinking outside the box, that is why Hilal won't tell us anything. He wants us to be around for the final curtain in this strange bizarre play. And it could be monumental... certainly worth the price of the tickets down here.