Rambus (RMBS)

[smd1234]

Cal,

FWIW, I'm at 80% on this issue (80% chance Whyte turns down Hynix on new trial AND request for appeal).

Even as to the 20% remaining, I'd say there's a
50% chance Whyte allows the appeal and goes ahead w/ phase 2 while the appeal is pending.

If Whyte lets Hynix ask CAFC I'd say there's an 80% chance CAFC refuses to hear the appeal.

Any appeal like this is a 4 to 6 month process AT MAXIMUM, if CAFC agrees to hear it.

Good luck with the algebra!

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1. Whyte does not grant appeal, continues with 2nd phase of trial. Probability is P1 = 40%. This has zero selling pressure (S1=0). I'm using a selling pressure scale from zero (no sell) to 1 max sell (100% sell) .