Russia's production was flat for 2012 and i've heard that there has been mass culling of oil-field workers which tells me that their 2013 production will be lower. Saudi Arabia's production is also decreasing.
The WSJ's graph shows 2012 US production under 10 Mbbl/day whereas the eia's data has monthly production well over 10. Eyeballing it says avg 2012 production was very close to 11 Mbbl/day.
As for regional gluts: i live in oklahoma and was in california 2 weeks ago. I was amazed to see that gasoline prices were identical between the 2 states. I wouldnt be surprised if prices were lower in the western and middle Great Lake states than either OK or CA. This is a result of the Bakken being nearly stranded with respect to pipelines and existing pipeline routing out of Canada. Hate to be cynical ;^) but i think this is part of obama's game plan.
As for Nigeria and Venezuela: aging oil fields are not their problem; rather domestic corruption and ineptitude combined with abundant supplies from elsewhere and crappy economies around the world.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.