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Monday, February 11, 2013 11:59:58 PM
Did this play out as I'd hoped it would have, 2-3 years ago? No. But one chapter has closed -- the settlement -- and another set of chapters remain open -- the Escrow placeholders, and the eventual valuation of WMIH pps when the first acquisition takes place.
Not merger; not buy-out -- but acquisition. Which is the direction the BOD laid out. There will be value, IMO -- but I do not believe that it will be of the nature or scope upon which many are conjecturing.
I positioned myself as best I could when the writing was on the wall, exchanging all I had for P preferred shares, in the hope of maximizing the number of shares I'd receive per the terms of the settlement. I got myself down to where 1.50 pps breaks me even with what I started with pre-settlement, and so I feel pretty calm about surpassing that pps with the first acquisition.
I am happy to let the course of events follow that pattern - small acquisitions, building up a larger WMIH value, until either time, or value, allows for the use of the NOLS. And if 3rd parts suits should bring money into Escrow, so much the better - as my P preferred base puts me in the best position to maximize upon Escrow earnings, should that come to pass.
I have no overreaching fantasy about big deals or 3rd party nervous breakdown in litigious lawsuits files against them. The future, IMO, lies in slow and steady growth; and if one has the patience to see this as a longitudinal investment -- or even a series of consistent 5-10 cent flips -- there is money to be made.
Dion
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