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Re: pennywizard61 post# 9309

Wednesday, 11/28/2012 8:48:48 PM

Wednesday, November 28, 2012 8:48:48 PM

Post# of 198930
Yes, then its 5 possibilities in total, however this is a best case scenario, almost to good to be possible. If we go with a raw probabilities calculation we would get about a 20% chance for each possibility to be true. But here is the thing, we know the company is not trustworthy, they haven't delivered and haven't done anything good, not one deal, not one dollar of profit. Hence if we adjust for this the probability of this particular outcome to come true is about 10% or less, I think most objective people would agree with this. Even the 20% is with no adjustment is a rather low chance, plus there are many other factors to consider after the merger happens, like how much did they pay, how much physical assets do they have, how much equity, how many clients, how much revenue, margins, and profits etc. Many things to classify this as a successful acquisition for shareholders, its a rather complex matter. I however wish everyone in here well. Remember that this is just my opinion.