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Sunday, 08/19/2012 10:50:16 PM

Sunday, August 19, 2012 10:50:16 PM

Post# of 47106


Ocrofts A+ stocky are less likely to falter though not guaranteed they won't.They have highest consistency in earnings and dividends per sp evaluation

One should look at his technique as a high probability of success but not a guarantee.

If it has a probability of 90 % success. then 10% failure rate is very acceptable failure rate.

If he diversifies he should be successful on average but not guaranteed .

We all play the averages some better than others. Aim helps us but doesn't guarantee success.

GE an A+ stock cut its dividend in 2009 . It is still struggling to recoup. The mortgage crisis made it vulnerable as a possible but debateable black swan event. I bought it thinking it was the rock of Gibralta . Immovable and sustainable. I was wrong. But i did diversify and up about 40% since I bought other stocks that sustained themselves . I won some i lost some.

We cant guarantee success. We can only hope the averages are with us and we try to maximize our playing of a very complex and poorly predictable game.

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