Profunds index and sector trading

[was Steve]

wifey is out of town so im playing around with excel spreadsheets tonight. I started trading funds (rydex initially then profunds) back in 2002. i summed up the number of positive and negative weeks in those years and saw that i am pretty consistent. the exception was in 2003 when i clung to a short at a loss for months (Tsk tsk). results for 2005 are thru this most recent week. The percent is the number of positive divided by the total number of weeks in the year.

2002 62.5%
2003 50.9%
2004 62.9%
2005 63.8%

i dont think it is too realistic to improve much above 70% on a weekly basis. i do feel the biggest area of improvemnt is in limiting the size of the drawdowns from ATH's and that will continue to be an area i work on.